Category: English — Analysis & Commentary
English-language analysis, commentary, explainers and interpretation.
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From the Xinhai Revolution to Today: Why Does China Repeatedly Fall into Cycles of Regime Change Without Durable Constitutional Transformation?
Free China Movement (FCM) | History and Constitutional Research | October 11, 2026 Abstract The 1911 revolution ended imperial rule under the Qing, but it did not immediately produce a stable constitutional order. This essay distinguishes between the…
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China’s Real Income Problem Is Bigger Than the Viral “8% of GDP” Claim
FCM examines the viral 8%-of-GDP wage claim and proposes a more rigorous framework for measuring how national income and public-capital returns reach households.
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From the Great Firewall to the Great Model Firewall: AI, Censored Knowledge, and the Economics of Frontier Innovation in Mainland China — Working Paper 1.0
Working Paper 1.0 examines whether AI-era information restrictions can narrow legitimate knowledge search even in a technically advanced innovation system, and sets out a falsifiable empirical design to test the claim.
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The Innovation Tax of the Great Firewall: Information Control, Economic Catch-Up, and Mainland China’s Transition to a Frontier Economy — Working Paper 1.0
Working Paper 0.5 examines whether restrictions on legitimate information impose larger marginal costs as mainland China moves from technological catch-up toward frontier knowledge creation.
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Power Kills: What R.J. Rummel’s Democide Research Actually Found
A concise examination of R.J. Rummel’s democide research, the widely shared 170-million estimate, the relationship he proposed between concentrated power and mass killing, and major methodological cautions.
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September 18: From Resisting Japanese Aggression to Completing China’s Unfinished Republic
On September 18, Free China Movement reflects on how Japan’s invasion disrupted the Republic of China’s unfinished state-building and argues that today’s responsibility is to pursue peaceful constitutional change toward a Third Republic.
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Editorial: China’s Credibility Depends on Keeping Its Promise to Hong Kong
When Xi Jinping arrives for an anticipated Washington meeting on September 24, the discussion should not be limited to tariffs, technology and strategic competition. It should include a simpler question: Can the PRC’s international commitments be trusted? Hong…
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For a Chinese Dissident in America, Due Process Is Not Optional
Reports that activist Li Qing has been detained remain unconfirmed, but the principle is already clear: U.S. authorities must provide transparency, counsel and full due process in any proceeding involving a dissident who fears return to persecution.
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Editorial: When a Photograph Becomes ‘Secession,’ the Law Has Lost Proportion
What kind of political system treats the display of a photograph as evidence of secession? The Zhang Yi case forces that question into the open. According to Amnesty International and Chinese rights groups, Zhang was taken into custody…
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Editorial: Hong Kong’s 2019 Freedom Ranking Is a Measure of What Was Lost
A statistic can be accurate and still be used to tell the wrong story. Hong Kong’s third-place finish in the 2019 Human Freedom Index was real. The index gave Hong Kong an overall score of 8.81 out of…